In times of increased change and uncertainty, leaders are called upon for decisive action, even in the face of unpredictable events.

Scenario planning allows leaders to take meaningful actions by exploring a range of possible futures, rather than betting on a single prediction.

To make it easier, here’s a customizable, open source scenario planning methodology and toolkit to help you guide your team in setting and updating strategy during these challenging times and in the future.

This toolkit, adapted from a scenario planning process developed by The Trium Group, a leading management consultancy that specializes in breakthrough business performance, provides a methodology and planning framework that can be customized to help leaders align teams around a shared context, execute on no regret moves, and design strong future-proof strategies. Includes base scenarios for the COVID-19 pandemic, along with example prompts, questions, observations and corresponding strategies.